I like to argue counter-intuitively because the world is much more interesting when you look at it from the most uncommon angle.
For the Kuala Terengganu by-election, my argument is that MCA and other BN parties will gain if UMNO loses the by-election, so they should pray hard for that to happen.
Why? Look at the table below.
UMNO won almost equally marginally in both the Malay heartland and the Malay-majority mixed constituencies, pulling votes only at around 55%. If it had done badly in the mixed areas because of the non-Malay rage, then there must have been a similar Malay revolt in the Malay belt.
Who had saved UMNO from this? The non-Malays whose support for BN remained as high as 60-80%. A case in point is Kuala Terengganu where the non-Malays were estimated to have gave 65% support to BN while the Malays were equally split.
What would happen if the non-Malays choose not to come to UMNO’s rescue again?
How could an UMNO’s defeat at the Chinese’ hand can benefit MCA, MIC, Gerakan, PPP and ultimately UMNO? Read the full story at my Uncommon Sense column (every Wednesday at thenutgraph.com)
Do you read Chinese? Here’s the slightly different Chinese version at Merdeka Review.